Casualty Actuarial Society

Limited Attendance Seminar - Predictive Modeling

Introduction to R
Limited Attendance Seminar

December 3 – 4, 2012
Hotel Monaco Alexandria
Alexandria, VA (DC Metro Area)

Registration is closed.


The Introduction to R Limited Attendance Seminar focuses on the practical issues involved in using R in typical types of actuarial analysis. The seminar will familiarize attendees with R, introduce packages related to common actuarial work, and demonstrate how to integrate R with spreadsheets.

Attendees will benefit from training in the following areas:

  • Basics of R (data loading, command structure)
  • Data Exploration
  • Graphing
  • Chain Ladder package
  • Exchanging Data with Spreadsheets and Other R
  • Predictive Modeling
  • Actuar (limited expected value)

Participants are expected to bring their own laptop to the seminar. Instructions will be sent prior to the seminar on installing R and related packages. Some minor preliminary work will be required in order to maximize our time during the seminar.

Participants are encouraged to bring their own data sets to use during the seminar.


December 3, 20128:30 a.m. - 5:30 p.m.
December 4, 2012 8:30 a.m. - 12:30 p.m.


The instructors are Dan Murphy, FCAS, MAAA, a Consulting Actuary with Trinostics LLC, Lee Bowron, ACAS, MAAA, a Consulting Actuary with Kerper and Bowron LLC and Kevin Burke, Ph.D., ARe, CPCU, AU, FCAS, MAAA, an actuary with Alfa Mutual Insurance Company.

Mr. Murphy is President of Trinostics LLC, an actuarial software and consulting venture in the San Francisco Bay Area. He has over 30 years of experience in mathematical, actuarial, and statistical analysis, programming and training. Dan specializes in the areas of stochastic analysis and economic capital modeling, and serves on the R-Working Party, the CAS Program Planning Committee and the CAS RBC Underwriting Risk Working Party. He is the author of the "mondate" package and is a contributor to the "ChainLadder" package, both on CRAN.

Mr. Bowron has written several papers for CAS call programs. He is the chair of the Open Source Software Committee. Lee Bowron’s practice focuses on extended warranty, F&I products, personal and commercial lines and environmental reserving. He has been in the insurance industry for 22 years and has been a consultant for the past 11 years. He is a also a member of the CAS Ratemaking Committee.

Dr. Burke is an actuary with Alfa Mutual Insurance Company in Montgomery, Alabama. His primary responsibilities are personal property ratemaking, analyzing beach pool exposure, and special projects.

Attendance is limited to a maximum of 35 students. Attendees will be selected on a first registered, first accepted basis.


Registration Fees (in U.S. Dollars) If received on/before
November 19
If received
after November 19
CAS Member, or Active Candidate* $750 $850
Non-Members $950 $1,050

* An Active Candidate is a non-CAS member who has attempted at least one actuarial exam in the last two years.

Continuing Education Credits

The Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) designates this educational activity for a maximum of up to 16.8 CE Credits (not including pre reading requirements). Participants should claim credit commensurate with the extent of their participation in the activity. CAS members earn 1 CE Credit per 50 minutes of educational session time not to include breaks and/or lunch.

The CAS Code of Professional Conduct states that, “an actuary shall perform professional services when the actuary is qualified to do so and meets applicable qualification standards.” The American Academy of Actuaries (AAA) establishes qualification standards for public statements of actuarial opinion in the United States of America. Those standards require that actuaries update and maintain knowledge of applicable principles of actuarial science and actuarial standards of practice and their satisfaction through continuing education. The AAA publication Qualification Standards for Prescribed Statements of Actuarial Opinion provides a complete list of guidelines concerning continuing education. Actuaries attending a CAS seminar to satisfy AAA requirements should review all guidelines in that publication.


The seminar will be held at:

    The Hotel Monaco Alexandria (Washington DC Metro Area)
    480 King Street
    Alexandria, VA 22314
    Reservations: 800-368-5047 and Reference the Casualty Actuarial Society R LAS
    CAS Room Block Rate: $189.00

A limited number of rooms have been reserved for the evenings of Sunday, December 2 - Monday, December 3, 2012, at a rate of $189.00 per night for a single or double room, plus taxes. You must specify that you are with the Casualty Actuarial Society when making your reservations.

Room reservations must be made by November 9, 2012.

While reservations must be made prior to November 9, 2012, in order to receive the $189 rate, there is no guarantee that rooms will be available should you wait until this date. CAS strongly suggests that you make your room reservations early to receive a room before the room block fills.


The registration fee will be refunded for a cancellation received before November 26, 2012 less a $100 processing fee. Only written cancellations will be honored. Cancellation requests can be faxed to (703) 276-3108 and e-mailed to


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