Casualty Actuarial Society

Press Room

2015 Call for Ratemaking Research Papers Proposals- Submission Extended Deadline to July 14

06/25/2013 —

The Casualty Actuarial Society is again pleased to extend a call for discussion papers on ratemaking topics. This call will have both one-year and two-year cycles and demonstrates our efforts to improve the process for submitting and reviewing papers, giving authors sufficient time to explore topics, and submit high-quality research. The one-year cycle is for papers that have been written and require editorial review. The two-year cycle is designed to provide structure and guidance to authors as they develop their proposal concept into a research paper.

Ratemaking is a major area of expertise for casualty actuaries; it is important that we foster and publish timely, relevant, and high-quality research. The Ratemaking Discussion Paper Program is offered to further these goals and to provide additional material for basic and continuing education purposes. Papers will be reviewed for acceptance based on:

  1. Originality of ideas
  2. Understandability of concepts
  3. Contribution to the ratemaking literature
  4. Thoroughness of ideas expressed
  5. Timeliness and relevance of research

Authors of accepted papers may be invited to present their work at the Ratemaking and Product Management (RPM) Seminar (2014 for one-year cycle papers and 2015 for two-year cycle papers). In addition, the papers will be published in the CAS E-Forum and will be available on the CAS web site prior to the Seminar. A total prize fund of $5,000 is available for papers submitted in response to the call, with up to $2,500 awarded to the best paper(s) and up to $2,500 awarded to the most practical paper(s). Both CAS members and non-members are invited to submit proposals for papers.

All papers on ratemaking topics are welcome, and papers should focus on the Considerations listed in the CAS Statement of Principles Regarding Property and Casualty Ratemaking. Suggested ratemaking topics based on current events and topics that deserve new or continued research are listed below.

  1. Expert Underwriting Systems
    • • Going beyond loss costs
      • Lifetime value of the customer
      • Customer elasticity
      • Regulatory considerations
  2. Catastrophe Ratemaking
    • • Profit Margins in Catastrophe Ratemaking
      • Underwriting for Catastrophes
      • ASOP 38
      • Alternative Risk Transfer
      • Catastrophe Loadings by Class/Territory
      • Revisions to catastrophe models that significantly change model results, such as expected losses
      • Pricing Insurance Linked Securities
  3. Enterprise Risk Management
    • • Impacts on Ratemaking
      • Concentration issues
  4. Specialty Products
    • • Federal and State Insurance Programs – FDIC, Flood, Earthquake, Crop Hail
      • Impact of coverage changes on pricing
      • Director’s & Officer’s, Fiduciary Liability, Errors and Omissions
      • Emerging products – GAP Insurance, Residual Value, Cyber Liability / Data Confidentiality
      • Impact of coverage changes on LDFs
  5. Predictive Modeling
    • • GLMs
      • How to build Scoring Models
      • Non-structured statistical methods
      • Credibility of predictive models
      • Usage based automobile insurance
      • Transitioning from non-GLM to GLM-based rating
      • Transitioning from one GLM model to another
      • Handling non-linear relationships in GLMs
  6. International Pricing
    • • Impact of Solvency II on ratemaking
      • Ratemaking in non-U.S. regulatory environments

Call Paper Timetable

Timely submission of the discussion papers is critical. The procedures and timetable enumerated below apply.

  • Deadline for Proposals and Completed Papers
    By July 14, 2013, authors must submit proposals for their papers including the suggested title, a short description of the topic(s) to be addressed, the approach that will be taken, and a survey of existing actuarial literature on the subject (title and abstract of a maximum of the five most relevant papers). Authors should review the criteria for acceptance shown above, and the format of papers shown below. Proposals should be submitted electronically, including contact information, via e-mail to Karen Sonnet at the Casualty Actuarial Society at ksonnet@casact.org. Please put “2015 Ratemaking Call Paper Program” in the subject line of the email. Proposals will follow the two-year cycle. Alternatively, by July 14, 2013, authors may submit a completed paper that has not been previously published. Completed papers should be submitted electronically, including contact information, via e-mail to Karen Sonnet at the Casualty Actuarial Society at ksonnet@casact.org. Please put “2015 Ratemaking Call Paper Program” in the subject line of the email. These papers will follow the one-year cycle.

  • Acceptance of Proposals and Completed Papers
    By July 31, 2013, the Committee on Ratemaking will decide which proposals and completed papers are accepted. The number of accepted proposals may be limited. The Ratemaking Discussion Paper Chairperson will contact the authors regarding the decision.

  • One-Year Cycle Important Dates
    A Call Paper Sub-Committee will be assigned to work with each author of a completed paper to review and provide general guidance within the timeframes. The sub-committee Chairperson will monitor progress. Authors are encouraged to share drafts with the sub-committee as work progresses, and are required to submit interim drafts according to the following schedule:
    • By October 1, 2013, a final version of papers submitted under the completed paper track will be submitted to the Chair of the assigned Sub-Committee for review.
    • By December 2, 2013, authors of papers submitted under the completed paper track will be notified if the paper will be accepted in the 2015 Call. Accepted papers will be published in the CAS E-Forum and will be available on the CAS Web Site prior to the 2014 RPM Seminar and authors may be invited to present their papers at the Seminar.
    • Completed Papers are also eligible for consideration for a Ratemaking Paper Prize to be awarded at the 2015 RPM Seminar.

  • Two-Year Cycle Important Dates
    A Call Paper Sub-Committee will be assigned to work with each author to monitor the paper's progress and to provide general guidance in completing the paper within the timeframes. The sub-committee Chairperson will monitor progress. Authors are encouraged to share drafts with the sub-committee as work progresses, and are required to submit interim drafts according to the following schedule:
    • By December 2, 2013, a completed draft of the paper will be submitted to the Chair of the assigned Sub-Committee for review.
    • By March 3, 2014, the Sub-Committee will forward review comments on the draft to the author(s).
    • By June 2, 2014, a second draft of the paper will be submitted to the Chair of the assigned Sub-Committee for review.
    • By August 1, 2014, the Sub-Committee will forward review comments on the second draft to the author(s).

  • Two-Year Cycle Completion Date
    By October 1, 2014, the Committee on Ratemaking must receive the completed paper including a 200-word abstract. Each paper will be screened by the Committee to assure its quality of exposition, relevance to the call and to ratemaking research, and adherence to format requirements described below. The Committee reserves the right to not publish a submission.

  • Approving the Two-Year Cycle Paper
    By December 2, 2014, authors will be notified of the results of the screening process. Accepted papers will be published in the CAS E-Forum and will be available on the CAS Web Site prior to the 2015 RPM Seminar.

  • Presenting the Two-Year Cycle Papers
    Authors may be invited to present their papers at the March 2015 CAS RPM Seminar. These authors will be contacted in advance of the meeting regarding their presentations.

  • Prize Competition
    All papers submitted and accepted in response to the call and meeting the minimum standards established by the Committee will be included in the prize competition. A prize fund of $2,500 is available for the best paper(s) submitted in response to the call and will be presented to the author(s) at the 2015 RPM Seminar. An additional prize fund of $2,500 is available for the most practical paper(s) submitted in response to this call. An independent review committee will judge the papers anonymously and will select the best paper(s). If no paper is considered eligible, the award shall not be made. There is also no guarantee that the prize fund, set at a level to fund more than one prize, shall be exhausted.

  • Format of Papers

    Papers must be no more than 10,000 words and should be prepared in accordance with the Research Paper Template, and the procedures in the Guide for Submission to CAS E-Forum on the CAS Web Site. Key words in the abstract should be based on the CAS Research Taxonomy, also on the CAS Web Site. Authors will be required to execute a "Permission to Publish" form, which formally grants the CAS permission to publish the paper. Authors are encouraged to submit working templates in spreadsheet form for models or methods discussed or developed in their papers and/or PowerPoint presentations incorporating the details of the paper's calculations. The spreadsheets and presentations will be posted on the CAS Web Site along with the paper.

    It is hoped that the authors will also submit their papers for publication in Variance: Advancing the Science of Risk, in accordance with its Submission Procedures. However, acceptance of a discussion paper for this call does not guarantee its acceptance for publication in Variance.

    The Committee on Ratemaking looks forward to receiving proposals in response to the call, and is happy to respond to inquiries from interested parties. Questions may be addressed to the Committee on Ratemaking via e-mail to ksonnet@casact.org.

Your participation in this effort will contribute to the written body of knowledge for the CAS and to the success of the 2015 Ratemaking Research Call Paper Program.

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