Fall 1996, q 7(bayes estimate) q17 (the target-bayes)

VanGulik@aol.com
Tue, 27 Apr 1999 23:07:27 EDT

Q7
Two dice, two spinners, Roll the same die (unknown over and over, n-1 times.
what is the bayes estimate of the nth trial as n goes to infinity?
I don't know how to get started on this one.

Should I find the unconditional probability of a claim size 2 and take it to
the n-1 power? (then what)

q17
I am missing something on this one because I disagree with the answer key (b.
point G, the center of the triangle). The shot 'S' is closer to X than is is
to Y, Z, or G. I think the bayes estimate should be somewhere between S and
X. My answer is E, none of the points. Which is WRONG and it cost me 2.5
$&*$^ points.

Thanks -V