Random Lengths is a trade publication out of Oregon that tracks lumber
prices. You would be able to get their index numbers for the time period
after Andrew, Hugo, etc. This would give you an indication of what would
happen to a national market. For information on local prices, you could
contact E. H. Boeckh or Marshall & Swift. I know that Boeckh had a
publication out on the effects of catastrophes on construction prices. This
would not account for other types of property such as autos, etc.
Good Luck.
Rick
At 08:14 AM 3/27/98 -0500, you wrote:
>Hello,
>
>I am building a Dynamic Capital Adequacy Test model and one of the
>scenarios to test is a 1 in 250 year earthquake. One of the parameters I
>need to estimate is a figure for post-event inflation. I was wondering if
>any actuaries in California have some data they can share maybe from the
>Northridge quake or other events. My initial guess would be around 20%,
>but I have nothing to back this up.
>
>Thanks,
>
>Dave Harris
>
>
>
>
>
>Visit the CAS Web Site at http://www.casact.org
>
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